Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Risk Update Worldwide

Bahrain
On 9 December riot police fired tear gas at hundreds of anti-government demonstrators attempting to march from the village of Musalla to the east of Manama, towards the pearl roundabout, which became the focus of pro-democracy unrest between January and March. Tensions remain, particularly among the country’s Shi’ah majority, and there is an ongoing risk of anti-government demonstrations that have the potential to turn violent.

Lebanon
Six people were injured when an improvised explosive device was detonated next to a UNIFIL peacekeeping patrol in the city of Tyre in southern Lebanon on 9 December. The attack was the third targeting the international force this year, which is made up of mainly French and Italian troops. Further attacks are likely; it remains unclear who is responsible.

Libya
Gunfights broke out near the international airport on 11 December when militiamen opened fire on the convoy of army chief Major-General Khalifa Haftar. The initial incident was followed by hours of armed clashes, with army officials claiming that former rebel militiamen from the Zintan brigade were responsible for the initial attack. Tensions are likely to increase further in the capital as a deadline for militia groups to return home moves closer.

Mexico
A professor at Pachuca Polytechnic University was injured by a letter bomb on 8 December. The academic belongs to the institution's security committee and is the third attack of its type this year. Radical, single-issue groups, such as one that opposes nanotechnology, are known to campaign strongly in academic institutions across the country; the attack highlights the terrorist threat posed by these groups as well as other, better-known elements in the country.

Peru
In an unexpected move, Prime Minister Saloman Lerner resigned on 10 December, prompting the rest of the cabinet to stand down in accordance with Peruvian law. President Humala was forced into a considerable cabinet reshuffle, as part of which a number of his friends and confidantes have been given key portfolios. Lerner was a popular man and his departure has unsettled those key sectors of Peruvian society that have been less than impressed with the President's unsympathetic attitude towards striking miners.

Russia
Thousands of protesters took to the streets in Moscow on 10 December to demand political reforms and a rerun of parliamentary elections. The protests were the largest Moscow has seen for several years and were notable for the lack of arrests and violence which often mar opposition activities. On 12 December, President Medvedev rejected calls for a rerun to be held but ordered a probe to be held into electoral fraud allegations.

Syria
At least 18 people were killed in clashes around the country on 11 December. In Homs, 11 people were killed; there are concerns that the military may be preparing for a full military assault on the city. Violence was also reported in northern Idlib province and in the south of the country near the Jordanian border. A general strike called by opposition activists was observed in some parts of Damascus although fear of reprisals by pro-government militias likely kept many at home.



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Source: AKE

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